/nUpcoming and Recent Decays and Re-entries - eventually air drag, gravity or retro-fire mean that a spacecraft or satellite is no longer able to stay in orbit. It re-enters the atmosphere to be destroyed or make a safe landing.
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2022 Jan 25
Tuesday, Day 25

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Feeling the Heat!

Air drag and, sometimes, gravitational effects cause satellites to re-enter the Earth's atmosphere. Occasionally, re-entry is caused by a deliberate decision of a satellite owner to fire a retro-rocket and bring some part of a space vehicle back to Earth.

Most re-entries result in the vehicle being destroyed by frictional heating as it passes through the Earth's atmosphere. Some fragments may get through and hit the Earth's surface - hence the system of TIP messages to warn of the event. Only a space vehicle fitted with a heat shield will get through the atmosphere for a landing.

NOTE - Names used here are as used by Space-Track rather than the more-descriptive ones in zarya.info's tables.


Anticipated Re-entries

Information comes from Space-Track. Most entries are from the 60-day decay prediction messages that are updated each week on Thursday at about 01:00 UTC. If the re-entry date has already passed then you might find the object is also in the actual re-entry list further down the page.

Below are re-entries expected over the next few weeks. The table includes only natural re-entries of satellites and rocket bodies. It excludes debris items and planned events like a Soyuz or a Dragon spacecraft returning from the ISS.

Cat No Designation Name
(SpaceTrack)
Predicted
Date UTC
Prediction
Issued UTC
45203    2020-012ABSTARLINK-12042022 Jan 232022 Jan 13
47422    2021-006KSTARLINK-22082022 Jan 232022 Jan 23
47414    2021-006BSTARLINK-22002022 Jan 232022 Jan 23
47415    2021-006CSTARLINK-22012022 Jan 242022 Jan 24
47416    2021-006DSTARLINK-22022022 Jan 242022 Jan 24
44257    2019-029YSTARLINK-432022 Jan 262022 Jan 23
49493    2021-107BCZ-4B R/B2022 Jan 262022 Jan 24
50575    2021-135BCZ-3B R/B2022 Jan 292021 Dec 30
45585    2020-025BGSTARLINK-13452022 Feb 32021 Dec 30
50320    2021-128BH-2A R/B2022 Feb 52022 Jan 20
29669    2006-061BSL-4 R/B2022 Feb 82022 Jan 20
47547    2021-008BSL-4 R/B2022 Feb 172022 Jan 20


Recent TIP Messages

Publication of TIP messages is not a matter of routine and they are not issued for all re-entries. They are more up to date and more precise than entries in the table and take precedence over them.

Readers unfamiliar with how to interpret TIP messages are recommended to read the Note at the bottom of the page.

Sometimes there may be a delay between the final TIP message and the re-entry being formally logged in Space-Track's Catalogue so a Message here may relate to a re-entry that has not yet moved from the 'Anticipated' list to the 'Recent' list.

List updated: 2022 Jan 24, 19:47 UTC

Cat No &
Designation
Name
(Space-Track)
Predicted
Date & Time UTC
Lat, Long & Heading
(10 km altitude)
TIP Message
Issued UTC
49493
2021-107B
CZ-4B R/B2022 Jan 26 09:59
± 600 minutes
2022 Jan 24 09:49
49405
2021-102L
EPSILON R/B2022 Jan 20 09:16
± 9 minutes
61°.4 south, 1°.7 east
southbound, ± 0.1 orbits
2022 Jan 20 13:39
47422
2021-006K
STARLINK-22082022 Jan 23 17:20
± 1 minutes
2°.1 north, 69°.6 east
northbound, ± 0.01 orbits
2022 Jan 23 18:00
47416
2021-006D
STARLINK-22022022 Jan 24 00:52
± 1 minutes
0°.2 south, 43°.3 west
northbound, ± 0.01 orbits
2022 Jan 24 05:30
47415
2021-006C
STARLINK-22012022 Jan 24 00:12
± 1 minutes
53°.4 north, 154°.9 east
southbound, ± 0.01 orbits
2022 Jan 24 01:26
47414
2021-006B
STARLINK-22002022 Jan 23 22:01
± 1 minutes
42°.2 north, 4°.9 west
northbound, ± 0.01 orbits
2022 Jan 23 22:16
45203
2020-012AB
STARLINK-12042022 Jan 21 13:22
± 1 minutes
51°.4 north, 7°.2 east
northbound, ± 0.01 orbits
2022 Jan 21 16:19
44257
2019-029Y
STARLINK-432022 Jan 26 08:11
± 780 minutes
2022 Jan 23 13:58


Recent Re-entries

This table is extracted from Space-Track's Catalogue and lists major re-entries that occurred in the last 30 days, whether natural or deliberate. The list is updated every few hours.


Cat No Designation Name (SpaceTrack) Date UTC
 
45203   2020-012ABSTARLINK-12042022 Jan 21
49405   2021-102LEPSILON R/B2022 Jan 20
47983   2021-024GSTARLINK-22892022 Jan 16
48004   2021-024ADSTARLINK-22612022 Jan 16
48015   2021-024AQSTARLINK-22812022 Jan 16
48024   2021-024AZSTARLINK-23022022 Jan 16
48035   2021-024BLSTARLINK-22872022 Jan 16
47970   2021-023FELECTRON R/B2022 Jan 15
42879   2017-042BGFLOCK 2K 332022 Jan 14
48032   2021-024BHSTARLINK-22972022 Jan 11
47984   2021-024HSTARLINK-23162022 Jan 10
48025   2021-024BASTARLINK-23182022 Jan 10
45585   2020-025BGSTARLINK-13452022 Jan 9
46050   2020-055ZSTARLINK-15352022 Jan 8
50323   2021-129CCZ-7A R/B2022 Jan 8
50505   2021-133AIPM 3/PERSEY2022 Jan 5
13770   1983-003ACOSMOS 14372022 Jan 4
46926   1998-067RWLEMUR 2 DJARA2022 Jan 4
42764   2017-035BCZ-3B R/B2022 Jan 2
43044   2017-071HCHEFSAT2022 Jan 2
46924   1998-067RUOBJECT RU2021 Dec 30
47419   2021-006GSTARLINK-22052021 Dec 30
47421   2021-006JSTARLINK-22072021 Dec 30
50184   2021-125AESTARLINK-32802021 Dec 28
47420   2021-006HSTARLINK-22062021 Dec 27
47418   2021-006FSTARLINK-22042021 Dec 26


Note on TIP Messages

Close to re-entry time for many items, SpaceTrack issues TIP Messages with a more-precise warning of the event. The meaning of the TIP acronym is 'Tracking and Impact Prediction'.

The message includes an estimated latitude and longitude for when the object will go through a height of 10 kilometres (definition - Space-Track) above the ground based on the estimated time. It is a rough indication of the start point of the ellipse within which debris might fall given that horizontal velocity will have reduced to near-zero because of air resistance. In most cases, it is meaningless in practical terms because of length of the Window included in the Message covers a long track across the Earth's surface.

TIP Messages are often a source of confusion as people take the predicted time literally and ignore the error margin (Window) that is also part of the message. In 2011 RIA-Novosti used a TIP Message, issued several weeks in advance, to pinpoint a village in North Africa, doggedly insisting that it would feel the full force of of Phobos-Grunt’s re-entry. SpaceTrack's Window was ±2 days, representing over one million kilometres of ground track and a large proportion of the Earth's surface between 52° North and 52° South.


Page information updated as available

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